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Hayes Recommends Staying Calm Amid Market Uncertainty
In a candid Tuesday appearance on the Coin Stories podcast, Arthur Hayes dropped jaws by saying he wouldn’t invest a single dollar in Bitcoin right now — choosing to sit tight amid geopolitical chaos and wait for a shift in U.S. monetary policy before making any buy.
“If I had $1 to invest right now, would I be putting it into Bitcoin? No. I would wait,” Hayes stated.
Hayes warned that the longer the U.S.-Iran conflict continues, the more likely it is that the Federal Reserve will have to print money to support the American war effort. The crypto billionaire said he plans to start buying Bitcoin once the Fed begins easing monetary policy:
“That’s when I’m going to buy Bitcoin when the central banks start printing money.”



 The ex-BitMEX CEO noted that while some believe war boosts Bitcoin, the more accurate perspective is that money printing drives its gains.
Hayes admitted he’s unsure whether Bitcoin has hit its bear-market price bottom. Trading at $69,587 as of press time, down 44.8% from its October all-time high of $126,000, Bitcoin could still plunge further as ongoing geopolitical tensions weigh on the crypto market.
Recent Bitcoin Weakness Doesn’t Change Hayes’ Bullish Long-Term View
“[With] the unfortunate war between US and Iran, I think that there is a situation where the longer that this carries on, there could be a massive sell-off in equities and Bitcoin,” Hayes opined.
Hayes suggested that Bitcoin could drop below $60,000, potentially triggering a major cascade of liquidations. The cryptocurrency briefly slumped to $60,000 on February 6 before stabilizing in a mild uptrend.
Despite short-term uncertainty, Hayes remains bullish on Bitcoin’s long-term path, projecting it could soar to $500K by 2026. He reaffirmed this forecast earlier this month, underscoring his strong belief in the apex crypto’s growth potential.
Other analysts, including Michaël van de Poppe, note that a strong Nasdaq performance could boost Bitcoin and altcoins, signaling that positive momentum might be just around the corner.
