UFC Fight Night Best Bets: Usman vs. Buckley June 14th Picks

Kamaru Usman of Nigeria looks on in a welterweight title bout against Leon Edwards of Jamaica during UFC 278 at Vivint Arena on August 20, 2022 in Salt Lake City, Utah. source: Getty ImagesKamaru Usman of Nigeria looks on in a welterweight title bout against Leon Edwards of Jamaica during UFC 278 at Vivint Arena on August 20, 2022 in Salt Lake City, Utah. source: Getty Images

Thirty-one-year-old Joaquin Buckley has been one of the UFC’s rising stars over the last year or so. He’s won his last six fights — four by knockout or technical knockout — the most recent being a third-round doctor’s stoppage against former welterweight champion Colby Covington at UFC on ESPN 63 in December.

Before that, Buckley also knocked out the legendary Stephen “Wonderboy” Thompson at UFC 307 in a fight that saw Buckley earn Performance of the Night. Considering the fact that Kamaru Usman is coming off a nearly two-year hiatus after losing three consecutive fights, it feels like an inevitability that Buckley adds him to his graveyard of UFC legends and ex-champions. I’m not sure it will take that long, either.

Joaquin Buckley by KO/TKO/Disqualification (+160)

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Rose Namajunas is one of the more recognizable names in the UFC women’s division after a series of title runs in the late 2010s and early 2020s. However, in 2025, there is very little value in betting on Namajunas as a rather substantial favorite against a red-hot Miranda Maverick.

Namajunas has lost three of her last five fights, two of those losses coming by unanimous decision. Maverick, on the other hand, has won four fights in a row outright — three of those by unanimous decision. In total, five of Maverick’s seven wins in the UFC have come by decision. I see Maverick’s odds of a win by decision having great value in this fight, and I also believe Namajunas is a favorite in this matchup strictly off name value.

Miranda Maverick by decision/technical decision (+270)

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I wouldn’t typically recommend betting on such an early finish at this value, but this fight is pretty straightforward. Abdul-Malik is an incredibly gifted striker, and Brundage can’t defend the strike to save his life. Abdul-Malik is the biggest favorite on the entire card straight up at -800, and his odds to win by KO/TKO are still juiced at -330 — meaning a stoppage inside the first two rounds at -190 odds is actually the best value we’ll find for this fight.

Abdul-Malik is 8-0 in his professional MMA career, with seven of those wins coming by knockout or technical knockout in the first or second round. Brundage, on the other hand, has only won four of his last nine. Garbrandt’s six career losses have been a mixed bag — KO/TKOs, decisions and submissions — but I would look for the early knockout by Abdul-Malik in this one.

Mansur Abdul-Malik vs. Cody Brundage u1.5 rounds (-190)

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